- 33 toss-up Congressional seats
- It comes down to Adam Smith vs Karl Marx
- Feds block searches for "WikiLeaks"
- Democrats are registering the insane to vote
Posted: 05 Nov 2012 11:19 AM PST
Republicans could gain eight seats in the House
The latest data released today by Real Clear Politics on the races for Congress show Republicans likely to hold 224 seats if the election were held today with 33 seats too close to call. The Democrats are favored in 178 of the 435 races for seats in Congress. Republicans took control of Congress in the 2010 elections and look to hold those gains this year.
Commonly referred to as the Congress, or the United States House of Representatives, which is the lower house of two houses of Congress, all 435 seats are up for election every day years as they are this year.
The Examiner reports the Real Clear Politics (RCP) report on the state of Congressional races will be cited here as a starting point for this analysis of the Congressional races. RCP lists 157 seats as safe Democratic seats and 193 seats as safe Republican seats, and those will be assumed to be won by those the Democrats and Republicans accordingly.
That leaves 85 congressional races that will be analyzed here. So the score here is, so far, Republicans lead 193-157 in the contest to win a at least a 218 seat majority of the 435 seats in Congress.
There are 33 toss-up House seats around the nation. If the Republicans can do well among these races, they can make gains and increase their majority in Congress. Democrats would have to win all these races and would make some gains but fall far short of regaining control of Congress.
Arizona 1: Former Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick runs against Republican nominee Jonathan Paton. This will be close but more likely to be won by Democrat Kirkpatrick.
California 7: Incumbent Republican Dan Lungren faces Democrat challenger Ami Bera. Lungren should be able to hold on to his seat in this election.
California - Ricky Gill -- "New Direction"
California 9: Democrat Congressman Jerry McNerney faces Republican nominee Ricky Gill in this race. This should be a close race.
California 10: This contest is between Republican incumbent Jeff Denham and Democrat challenger Jose Hernandez. This race should favor the incumbent. Leans Republican.
California 24: Incumbent Democrat Lois Capps vs. Republican challenger Abel Maldonado. This race will be close but the incumbent win it. Incumbency for a Democrats in a close race in a Democrat-leaning state suggests a Democrat win.
California 26: This is an open seat being contested by Republican Tony Strickland and Democrat Julia Brownley. This race will narrowly go to the Democrats.
California 36: This race is between Republican incumbent Mary Bono Mack and Democratic nominee Raul Ruiz. This race leans Republican.
California 52: Incumbent Republican Brian Bilbray faces Democrat challenger Scott Peters. While this will be close the incumbent will have the edge and get reelected to Congress.
Colorado 6: Republican Congressman Mike Coffman is challenged by Democrat Joe Miklosi in a close race the incumbent should win.
Connecticut 5: Running for an open seat Andrew Roraback, the Republican, opposes Democratic nominee Elizabeth Esty. Leans Democrat.
Florida - Allen West for Congress
Florida 18: This race is between conservative Republican Allen West and liberal Democrat Patrick Murphy. Murphy has found himself facing questions about bad behavior in his past while West is surging in the polls. A recent survey by Democrat-leaning leaning Public Policy Polling has West leading by nine percent. West will win this election.
Georgia 12: Democrat incumbent John Barrow races challenger Lee Anderson. This race leans Republican.
Illinois 10: Incumbent Republican Robert Dold faces Democrat candidate Brad Schneider. This race leans Republican.
Illinois 12: An open seat race between Democrat Bill Enyart and Republican Jason Plummer, this one leans Republican.
Illinois13: This is another open seat race that is between Democrat David Gill and Republican Rodney Davis. This one will also narrowly go Republican.
Illinois 17: This race features first term Republican Bobby Schilling running against Democrat Cheri Bustos. Schilling will hold on to this seat and beat the conventional wisdom that expects him to lose.
Iowa 3: This open seat race is between Republican Tom Latham and Democrat Leonard Boswell. Iowa is trending toward the Republican side and this close race should go to Latham.
Iowa 4: Popular Congressman Steve King faces Christie Vilsack, the wife of former Democrat Governor Tom Vilsack. King will easily reelected in this race.
Kentucky 6: Democrat incumbent Ben Chandler is challenged by Republican Andy Barr. This seat leans Democrat.
Michigan - Dan Benishek for Congress
Michigan 11: This is an open seat race between Republican Kerry Bentivolio and Democrat Syed Taj. This one is expected to go Republican, after the suprise resignation of Congressman Thaddeus McCotter set up this contest, in what is generally a Republican leaning district.
Minnesota 8: Incumbent Republican Chip Cravaack seeks reelection against Democrat Rick Nolan in a district that has been gradually growing more Republican. This trend will continue and Cravaack will hold on to this seat.
North Carolina 7: Incumbent Democrat Mike McIntyre seeks reelection against Republican challenger David Rouzer. In a close election incumbency makes a difference, this seat will go for the Democrats.
New Hampshire 1: Incumbent Republican Frank Guinta faces a challenge from former Democrat Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter, who he defeated in a close race in 2010. Guinta has done everything he needs to do to win a close district and will be reelected this year.
Nevada 4: This is a newly created seat, should go Republican with Danny Tarkanian, the son of the well-known UNLV basketball coach.
New York - Randy Altschuler for Congress
New York 1: This race features incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop running against Republican Randy Altschuler. This race leans Republican.
New York 21: Democrat incumbent Bill Owens, who defeated conservative Doug Hoffmany promising to oppose ObamaCare then went to Congress and voted for it. Republican challenger Matt Doneny will score the upset and win this race.
New York 27: Incumbent Democrats Kathy Hochul faces Republican challenger Chris Collins. Collins could win this one in a close race.
Ohio 6: This race is between incumbent Republican Bill Johnson and Democrat challenger Charlie Wilson. This race leans Republican.
Ohio 16: This is an open seat race between Democrat Betty Sutton and Republican Jim Renacci. Ohio will narrowly go Republican for Romney and that might just tip the balance in this race to the Republican nominee Renacci.
Pennsylvania 12: This race features incumbent Democrat Mark Critz, who was elected in a close race in 2010, running against Republican Keith Rothfus. Although it will be a close race, the Democrat incumbent will be reelected.
Texas 23: Incumbent Republican Francisco “Quico” Canseco is seeking reelection against Democrat Pete Gallego. This is a Republican-leaning district where the incumbent will hold on to his seat in a close election.
Utah - Mia Love for Congress
Utah 4: In this race, incumbent liberal Democrat Jim Matheson faces a strong challenge from Satatoga Springs Mayor and Republican nominee Mia Love. The most recent poll listed by RCP shows Love winning by six percent and the momentum seems to be going that way in this race. Republican Love will win this race.
Without these 33 close races, the score was 226 Republicans to 176 Democrats. Of these 33, Republicans are expected to win 25 and Democrats will win only eight. That brings the final tally to 251 Republicans and 184 Democrats in the next Congress. If this holds true on election day, it will be a gain of eight seats for Republicans.
Posted: 05 Nov 2012 01:00 AM PST
Capitalism vs. Marxism
We are at the moment of truth at last.
The public must choose between Capitalism and Marxism. And I am sorry to say that nearly 50% of the nation (or 47% if you will) is eager as Hell to elect candidates who will give them tons of free shit paid for by some other guy somewhere.
But the choice is beyond just the Marxist re-distribution of wealth.
The choice is between:
Milton Friedman - Socialism vs. Capitalism
In his book "Capitalism and Freedom" (1962) Milton Friedman (1912-2006) advocated minimizing the role of government in a free market as a means of creating political and social freedom.
From each according to their ability, to each according to their need.
Danger Will Robinson, Danger
If Obama wins, the US will go down the road of bankruptcy and poverty traveled by Greece, Argentina, North Korea, Spain, Italy and the Soviet Union. We will slowly become a 3rd world nation with nukes.
But there is extreme danger to the very fabric of America even with a victory by Mitt Romney and a GOP Congress.
Insane Spending - For twelve years a GOP Congress grew Big Government like an insane New Dealer. For the last two years the GOP House of Representatives has acted like the "deer in the headlights" and did nothing meaningful in any way to stem the flood of crazed Big Government spending and a massive run up of debt.
Does the GOP Congress have the will power to cut spending? I say no.
Each party is like a heroin addict. They must keep printing or spending trillions of other people's money to buy the votes back home to win elections.
I firmly believe the fate of the Republic comes down to Mitt Romney. Does he have the backbone to drag the liberal big spending GOP closer to a balanced budget? If Mitt wins we will know next year.
The Constitution and Bill of Rights - The other danger is totally bi-partisan in nature.
In this blog I have documented endless and eager attacks on the Constitution and the liberty of the people by both political parties.
These past stories are available on the right side of this blog under "labels for major stories". Just click on the Bill of Rights, 1984, the different Amendments to the Constitution, Constitution or Police State.
These recent stories show both Democrats and Republicans in a mad race to build and unconstitutional Big Brother Police State. I doubt if any of these bastards could name five Founding Fathers. They certainly have never heard of the Bill of Rights.
The Future - Maybe the hack liar politicians will slow the rate of spending so the US does not totally collapse. Maybe.
But even if the nation recovers, what kind of nation will it be in 10 years? The smaller government land of the free that existed under Eisenhower? or some corrupt Mussolini-style centralized Police State where Big Brother watches our every move?
Posted: 05 Nov 2012 12:30 AM PST
The public search engine for the US National Archives appears to be blocked for the term “WikiLeaks”. The whistleblower website has already lashed out at the move, saying the Archives has turned into “Orwell’s Ministry of Truth.”
An error message pops up every time a search is performed with the word “WikiLeaks”.
It’s not entirely clear when the US National Archives decided to block these searches reports RT News.
However, WikiLeaks’ has already called the whole thing a “farce”.
“The US National Archives has literally turned into Orwell’s Ministry of Truth,” a message on the site’s Twitter account reads, adding “The US state is literally eating its own brain by censoring its own collective memories about WikiLeaks.”
The block is likely to be in line with the “Protecting Cyberspace as a National Asset Act,” a form of Internet censorship the US adopted back in 2010.
It did not become law, but it prompted various US government agencies such as the White House Office of Management and Budget and the US Air Force to advise their employees not to read or access classified documents being made available by sites like WikiLeaks.
The Library of Congress went further by blocking access to WikiLeaks content from its server in 2010.
Ministry of Truth 1984
The American Library Association suggested this violated the First Amendment rights of Internet users to receive information.
“The Library of Congress’s decision is a violation of the First Amendment and a violation of the American Library Association’s Bill of Rights. Moreover, it is a violation of the professional ethics of librarians to always provide free access to all information,” their statement said.
WikiLeaks exploded on to the global scene back in 2006, since then releasing hundreds of thousands of classified diplomatic cables, including top secret documents from the US Department of Defense, and secret cables from the State Department.
Some of that classified information was seen as damaging the US government’s reputation in a number of incidents.
1984 is Here
"Political tags - such as royalist, communist, democrat, populist, fascist, liberal, conservative, and so forth - are never basic criteria. The human race divides politically into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire."
Everyday we see the Elites pulling the Big Brother noose just a little bit tighter around our necks.
Below are a few of our most recent stories on the march to a 1984 State:
THE FEDERALIST - "Scanning school children like cattle"
THE FEDERALIST - "Feds organize children to report "energy crimes"
THE FEDERALIST - "Senate attacks the very 1984 spying they voted for."
THE FEDERALIST - "Government microchips school children - 1984 is Here."
THE FEDERALIST - "Phone spy app reports you to the Big Brother Police."
THE FEDERALIST - "Censorship - This story never happened."
THE FEDERALIST - "FBI to log your photo in a data base."
THE FEDERALIST - "Obama's Death Warrants and the NDAA."
THE FEDERALIST - "Thought Police put US Marine in a Mental Hospital."
THE FEDERALIST - "POLICE STATE - NYPD spies on Americans."
THE FEDERALIST - "Big Brother Spy Cameras are Everywhere."
THE FEDERALIST - "Bill of Rights is trashed by the Federal Government."
THE FEDERALIST - "Conservatives urge children to spy on parents."
THE FEDERALIST - "Big Brother comes to New Mexico."
Posted: 05 Nov 2012 08:50 AM PST
Now Democrats are registering the insane in mental hospitals to vote
Democrat run North Carolina recent stepped-up voter registration efforts at state mental hospitals and facilities for the so-called "developmentally disabled" resulted in the registration of Wendell Justin Williamson, who in 1995 killed two people in Chapel Hill and was judged not guilty by reason of insanity.
Election records show Williamson, a patient at Central Regional Hospital in Butner, was registered on Sept. 13 as an unaffiliated voter. He cast an absentee ballot that was accepted Oct. 15 by the Granville County Board of Elections.
In a street shootout in January 1995 near the UNC-Chapel Hill campus, Williamson, a law student, used an M-1 rifle to kill two strangers. The not-guilty verdict caused a national furor. He attracted additional headlines this week when a judge granted Williamson unsupervised off-campus privileges reports The Carolina Journal.
Employees of the Murdoch Developmental Center, a state-run facility in Butner for the mentally retarded and developmentally disabled, recently registered 36 of the more than 500 residents to vote in what appears to have been a voter registration drive at the facility. In addition, some residents were checked out of the facility and transported to early voting centers to cast votes.
As of Oct. 30, eight of the center’s residents had voted in person at one of the two early voting sites in Granville County, Carolina Journal has learned. One of the sites is at the Creedmoor City Hall, four miles from the Murdoch Center. The residents voted at the early voting locations on five different days.
Registration activities also appear to have taken place at two other centers serving those with extreme developmental disabilities — the Riddle Developmental Center in Morganton and the Caswell Developmental Center in Kinston.
By law, facility employees are prohibited from assisting the residents with voting, but each resident could have asked an election site official for help in completing a ballot. The developmentally disabled also may receive help from a close relative or legal guardian, but CJ has been unable to determine if these rules were followed in any of the instances in Granville County.
CJ reported last week that state workers offered assistance with voting activities to mentally ill patients at a Cherry Hospital, a state-run mental health facility in Goldsboro. That assistance, which has included registering voters, applying for absentee ballots, and assistance in filling out those ballots, appears to be a violation of state law.
Voter registration activities also appear to have taken place at the J. Iverson Riddle Development Center in Morganton. Burke County Elections Board records show that nine persons are registered to vote at the center’s address — 300 Enola Road, Morganton.
Six of the nine were recent registrations. Residents of the state-owned facility have “profound or severe mental retardation, or a related developmental disability.”
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